NFC Wild Card: Philadelphia Eagles at Tampa Bay Buccaneers odds, picks and predictions

Corey Scott

Staff Writer

The Philadelphia Eagles (11-6) and Tampa Bay Buccaneers (9-8) meet in an NFC Wild Card game at Raymond James Stadium Monday. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15 p.m. ET (ESPN/ABC/ESPN+). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's lines around the Eagles vs. Buccaneersodds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Eagles wrapped up their regular season with a non-cover as 5.5-point favorites in a 27-10 loss at the New York Giants Jan. 7 as the Under (43.5) hit. The game became somewhat meaningless once the Dallas Cowboys started blowing out the Washington Commanders, securing the NFC East title and a No. 2 seed in the playoffs.

The Buccaneers' defense was dominant in their win-and-in regular-season finale at the Carolina Panthers Jan. 7. The NFC South champions covered as 4.5-point favorites with a 9-0 victory as the Under (36.5) cashed.

In a Sept. 25 meeting, the Eagles covered as 5.5-point road favorites in a 25-11 win over Tampa as the Under (44) hit. QB Jalen Hurts was 23-of-37 passing for 277 yards with 1 TD and 2 INTs and ran for a score.

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Eagles at Buccaneers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Sunday at 2:16 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Eagles -150 (bet $150 to win $100) | Buccaneers +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
Against the spread (ATS): Eagles -3 (-105) | Buccaneers +3 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 43 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Eagles at Buccaneers key injuries

Eagles

FS Reed Blankenship (groin) questionable
WR A.J. Brown (knee) out
S Sydney Brown (knee) out

Buccaneers

LB K.J. Britt (calf) questionable
QB Baker Mayfield (ankle, ribs) questionable

Eagles at Buccaneers picks and predictions

Prediction

Eagles 27, Buccaneers 20

Moneyline

The Eagles (-150) are still favored on the road despite going 1-5 in their last 6 games, while the Buccaneers went 5-1.

The market has decided that Philadelphia is still multiple points better than Tampa Bay and will likely bounce back after 2 straight losses. However, I prefer laying the points over risking $150 to win $100.

PASS. Bet the spread and/or total instead.

Against the spread

According to reports Eagles coach Nick Sirianni may get fired if Philadelphia loses Monday. That extra motivation should bode well for an Eagles team that has the more talented players, especially at quarterback.

Philadelphia has struggled in recent weeks but is still putting out almost the same roster that started the season 10-1 straight up (SU).

Its 1-5 SU record to end the regular season also sounds worse than it actually is. Losing in back-to-back weeks to the San Francisco 49ers and at the Cowboys should be expected, their late meltdowns at the Seattle Seahawks and to the Arizona Cardinals were somewhat unlucky, and it knew the New York game was practically pointless since Dallas was a 13.5-point favorite at Washington.

If my options are between an overachieving team led by Mayfield to continue having success or Hurts and the Eagles to regain focus in a potential must-win spot for Sirianni's job, I'm going to put my money on the team coming off a Super Bowl appearance laying just 3.

BET EAGLES -3 (-105).

Over/Under

According to Clevanalytics.com, the Over has hit in non-division same-season rematches in the playoffs at 55% since 2000. These teams are somewhat familiar with each other and should both be able to put up points, but not too familiar where it becomes an Under-heavy rivalry like the Pittsburgh Steelers and Baltimore Ravens.

The Under hit in the 1st meeting this season, but that was before the Eagles' defense started to erode after their win at Kansas City Nov. 20; Philadelphia allowed 21.2 points per game through Week 11 and 30.9 afterwards.

Philadelphia is 4th in 1st downs per game (22.2), and its defense allows the 3rd-most (21.4), according to Teamrankings.com. Both teams should be able to move the sticks this time around and create more scoring opportunities than we saw in the Sep. 25 meeting.

BET OVER 43 (-110).

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