Cincinnati at Baylor odds, picks and predictions

Nathan Beighle
Staff Writer

The No. 14 Baylor Bears (13-2, 2-0 Big 12) welcome the Cincinnati Bearcats (12-3, 1-1) to Foster Pavilion Saturday. Tip is set for 8 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook's lines around the Cincinnati vs. Baylorodds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and best bets.

Baylor is No. 14 in the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll. It is coming off an 81-72 win over the BYU Cougars at home Tuesday, covering as a 4.5-point favorite. The Bears have covered in 4 straight games and in 8 of their last 10. They are 7-1 against the spread (ATS) at home and 10-3-1 ATS on the season. Baylor is led by F Ja'Kobe Walter, who is averaging 15.3 points per game (PPG).

The Bearcats did receive some votes to get a spot in the coaches poll but are on the outside looking in. They lost 74-73 to the Texas Longhorns at home Tuesday, failing to cover as 5-point favorites. Cincinnati has won 4 of its last 5 yet covered in just 1 of those games (a 71-60 road win over BYU as a 10-point underdog). It is 6-9 ATS on the season. The Bearcats are led by F Viktor Lakhin, who is averaging 14.1 PPG.

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Cincinnati at Baylor odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:40 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Cincinnati +240 (bet $100 to win $240) | Baylor -300 (bet $300 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Cincinnati +6.5 (-102) | Baylor -6.5 (-120)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 149.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Cincinnati at Baylor picks and predictions

Prediction

Baylor 84, Cincinnati 72

Moneyline

PASS.

Baylor (-300) is too expensive on the moneyline and is the far better side. Given that combination, avoid a moneyline play.

Against the spread

BET BAYLOR -6.5 (-120).

The Bears have been strong at home, and while they haven't played well against top sides this season, they do have wins over Florida, Auburn, Oregon State and BYU. Baylor has yet to lose at home and has won all but 1 game by double figures (a 9-point win over BYU was the lone exception).

Cincinnati has been hot as of late, but it lost at home to Texas and has losses to Xavier and Dayton. Its lone quality win was against BYU on the road, a game in which the Cougars were awful offensively. Expect Cincinnati to continue to regress.

Take BAYLOR -6.5 (-120).

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Over/Under

LEAN OVER 149.5 (-110).

Of the 362 programs, Cincinnati ranks 9th in field goals attempted per game. Baylor is 116th. These teams like to push the ball and play at a fast pace.

Both also consistently hit the Over. Cincinnati is 9-6 O/U on the season. Baylor is 8-6 O/U on the season and has scored at least 81 in 3 of its last 4 games.

Couple it all and back OVER 149.5 (-110).

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